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Regardless of one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is necessary to acknowledge, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be challenging/ difficult, to accurately predict. On one hand, President Trump will be able to point to the favorable state of the economy, and work levels, which normally, would nearly guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the continuous understanding, of his statements, integrated with the appearance of disputes of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds concerning Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s continuous, apparent, attracting the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, attitude relating to immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to interest his political base, while activating, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats attract, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, therefore, the election outcome is unpredictable! With that in mind, this article will attempt to, quickly, think about, take a look at, review, and go over, 5 reasons, the President might be reelected (to put it simply, they might not, present, an effective message, to beat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are chosen: 2 of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by some of the potential citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ fans, in enough numbers, resented, he did not acquire the Democratic election, and, in the basic election, a significant number of them, either, chose Trump, among the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who proclaimed, it wouldn’t matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, need to have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to much of them! Elizabeth Warren has assaulted other Democrats, other than Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, plans, without adequate detail, regarding expenses! The real concern, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Celebration for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their fans, back the eventual Democratic candidate, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided party, is the pal of the President, because, his core supporters/ base, nearly ensure him, at least 35%, entering into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the polls? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these voters, and, will the method, the President projects, versus them, utilizing scary rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a constant bombardment, and scare – techniques, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, lots of Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and impacts: It seems, the field has narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls suggest Biden is still leading, in many states, in addition to total, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, must be worrying, as to how, he must stand – up, to Trump, specifically thinking about the already, existing attempts, at accusing him, and his boy, of unproven, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may enthuse, particular aspects of the electorate, while also, scaring others! Mayor Pete, who looked like an option, has actually just recently, gotten into conflicts with Warren, and does not appear, relied on, by certain minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might become compromise candidates, or will not gain sufficient traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, unique method, avoiding the very first 4 primaries, declining any outdoors funds, and hence, not taking part in the celebration arguments, and heavily spending his own monies, on his campaign. Whether this will acquire sufficient traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as simply another billionaire, or someone, with the combination of abilities, experience, expertise, Executive acumen, and means to win the general election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking chances, it appears, President Trump, in spite of numerous handicaps, starts as the odds – on, favorite! Don’t forget your Trump Shirts Funny…