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Despite one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is necessary to recognize, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be difficult/ challenging, to precisely anticipate. On one hand, President Trump will be able to point to the positive state of the economy, and work levels, which typically, would almost guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. However, the continuous understanding, of his statements, integrated with the look of disputes of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds regarding Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his method! This President’s continuous, evident, interesting the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, mindset regarding immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to interest his political base, while activating, both, those who support him, along with the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats attract, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, hence, the election result is unpredictable! With that in mind, this article will attempt to, briefly, consider, examine, evaluate, and talk about, 5 reasons, the President might be reelected (in other words, they may not, present, an effective message, to defeat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are chosen: 2 of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the potential citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ advocates, in adequate numbers, frowned at, he did not acquire the Democratic nomination, and, in the basic election, a substantial number of them, either, voted for Trump, one of the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who announced, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, should have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to many of them! Elizabeth Warren has assaulted other Democrats, other than Bernie, consisting of Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, strategies, without adequate detail, regarding expenses! The genuine question, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Party for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their advocates, back the eventual Democratic candidate, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided party, is the buddy of the President, because, his core fans/ base, nearly guarantee him, at least 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the method, the President campaigns, against them, using scary rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent barrage, and scare – techniques, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, lots of Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and effects: It seems, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls show Biden is still leading, in many states, in addition to overall, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, need to be concerning, regarding how, he needs to stand – up, to Trump, particularly considering the already, existing attempts, at implicating him, and his kid, of unverified, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may excite, certain components of the electorate, while also, frightening others! Mayor Pete, who looked like an option, has actually recently, entered into disagreements with Warren, and doesn’t appear, relied on, by certain minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might become compromise candidates, or won’t gain enough traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, distinct strategy, skipping the first 4 primaries, not accepting any outside funds, and thus, not taking part in the celebration debates, and greatly spending his own cash, on his campaign. Whether this will gain sufficient traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as just another billionaire, or somebody, with the mix of skills, experience, know-how, Executive acumen, and implies to win the basic election, doubts.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking odds, it seems, President Trump, in spite of many handicaps, begins as the chances – on, favorite! Don’t forget your Trump Million Dollar Bill…