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Despite one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it’s important to recognize, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be hard/ difficult, to accurately forecast. On one hand, President Trump will be able to indicate the favorable state of the economy, and work levels, which generally, would almost ensure an incumbent’s reelection. However, the continuous understanding, of his statements, combined with the look of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds relating to Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his method! This President’s constant, obvious, attracting the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, mindset concerning immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to appeal to his political base, while activating, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats appeal to, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, therefore, the election outcome is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this post will attempt to, briefly, consider, take a look at, examine, and discuss, 5 reasons, the President might be reelected (simply put, they may not, present, an effective message, to beat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: Two of the prospects in the race, are thought about, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the possible voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in sufficient numbers, resented, he did not obtain the Democratic nomination, and, in the general election, a considerable number of them, either, elected Trump, one of the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who declared, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, ought to have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to many of them! Elizabeth Warren has attacked other Democrats, other than Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, strategies, without adequate detail, concerning expenses! The real concern, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Celebration for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the nominee: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their supporters, back the eventual Democratic prospect, or repeat the mistakes of 2016? A divided celebration, is the buddy of the President, because, his core fans/ base, nearly ensure him, at least 35%, entering into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the polls? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the method, the President campaigns, against them, using frightening rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a constant bombardment, and scare – tactics, affect things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, many Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and effects: It appears, the field has narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls show Biden is still leading, in lots of states, in addition to overall, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, ought to be worrying, as to how, he must stand – up, to Trump, specifically considering the currently, existing efforts, at accusing him, and his kid, of unproven, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, might excite, specific aspects of the electorate, while also, frightening others! Mayor Pete, who seemed like an alternative, has actually just recently, entered into disputes with Warren, and does not appear, trusted, by particular minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might become compromise candidates, or will not gain adequate traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, unique method, skipping the very first 4 primaries, not accepting any outdoors funds, and hence, not taking part in the celebration arguments, and heavily investing his own cash, on his project. Whether this will get sufficient traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as simply another billionaire, or somebody, with the mix of skills, experience, proficiency, Executive acumen, and implies to win the general election, doubts.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking odds, it seems, President Trump, despite numerous handicaps, starts as the chances – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Trump Hats Near Me…