Trump Gold 100 Dollar Bill
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No matter one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is very important to recognize, the Governmental election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be difficult/ challenging, to precisely anticipate. On one hand, President Trump will be able to indicate the favorable state of the economy, and work levels, which typically, would nearly ensure an incumbent’s reelection. However, the constant perception, of his declarations, integrated with the appearance of disputes of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds concerning Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s continuous, apparent, attracting the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, mindset relating to immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to attract his political base, while mobilizing, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats interest, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, therefore, the election outcome is unpredictable! With that in mind, this post will try to, quickly, consider, take a look at, examine, and talk about, 5 factors, the President might be reelected (simply put, they might not, present, an efficient message, to beat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: Two of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the potential voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ fans, in adequate numbers, felt bitter, he did not obtain the Democratic election, and, in the basic election, a significant number of them, either, elected Trump, among the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who proclaimed, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, must have taught them a lesson! However, it appears, it has not, to a lot of them! Elizabeth Warren has assaulted other Democrats, other than Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, plans, without sufficient information, relating to costs! The real concern, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Party for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their supporters, back the eventual Democratic candidate, or repeat the mistakes of 2016? A divided celebration, is the buddy of the President, because, his core supporters/ base, almost ensure him, at least 35%, entering into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the polls? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the way, the President campaigns, against them, using frightening rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent bombardment, and scare – tactics, affect things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, lots of Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and effects: It appears, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 candidates, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls show Biden is still leading, in many states, as well as general, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, should be concerning, regarding how, he needs to stand – up, to Trump, specifically thinking about the currently, existing efforts, at accusing him, and his child, of unverified, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may excite, certain components of the electorate, while also, terrifying others! Mayor Pete, who looked like an alternative, has actually recently, gotten into conflicts with Warren, and does not appear, relied on, by specific minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may end up being compromise prospects, or won’t acquire adequate traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an unusual, special technique, avoiding the first 4 primaries, not accepting any outdoors funds, and thus, not taking part in the party arguments, and greatly spending his own cash, on his project. Whether this will acquire enough traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as just another billionaire, or someone, with the mix of skills, experience, competence, Executive acumen, and indicates to win the basic election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking chances, it seems, President Trump, regardless of many handicaps, begins as the odds – on, favorite! Don’t forget your Trump Gold 100 Dollar Bill…