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No matter one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it’s important to recognize, the Governmental election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be tough/ tough, to accurately forecast. On one hand, President Trump will be able to point to the positive state of the economy, and work levels, which generally, would nearly guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the constant perception, of his declarations, integrated with the look of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds regarding Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s constant, evident, attracting the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, mindset regarding immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to attract his political base, while activating, both, those who support him, in addition to the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats interest, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, thus, the election outcome is unpredictable! With that in mind, this post will attempt to, briefly, consider, examine, review, and go over, 5 reasons, the President may be reelected (in other words, they might not, present, an effective message, to defeat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are chosen: Two of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by some of the possible citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ advocates, in adequate numbers, resented, he did not get the Democratic nomination, and, in the basic election, a significant variety of them, either, voted for Trump, one of the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who announced, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, ought to have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to many of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually assaulted other Democrats, other than Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, plans, without enough information, regarding costs! The real question, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Party for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their advocates, back the ultimate Democratic prospect, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided celebration, is the pal of the President, because, his core supporters/ base, nearly guarantee him, at least 35%, entering into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the way, the President campaigns, versus them, utilizing frightening rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a continuous bombardment, and scare – techniques, affect things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, lots of Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and impacts: It seems, the field has narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls show Biden is still leading, in many states, along with overall, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, need to be worrying, regarding how, he must stand – up, to Trump, specifically considering the already, existing attempts, at accusing him, and his kid, of unverified, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, might enthuse, particular aspects of the electorate, while also, terrifying others! Mayor Pete, who appeared like an option, has just recently, entered into disagreements with Warren, and doesn’t appear, relied on, by specific minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might end up being compromise candidates, or will not gain enough traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, distinct technique, avoiding the first 4 primaries, not accepting any outdoors funds, and therefore, not participating in the party disputes, and greatly investing his own monies, on his project. Whether this will get adequate traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as simply another billionaire, or someone, with the mix of abilities, experience, competence, Executive acumen, and suggests to win the general election, doubts.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking odds, it seems, President Trump, despite lots of handicaps, starts as the odds – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Trump Campaign Office Near Me…