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Despite one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is necessary to acknowledge, the Governmental election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be tough/ challenging, to precisely predict. On one hand, President Trump will have the ability to point to the positive state of the economy, and work levels, which typically, would almost ensure an incumbent’s reelection. However, the continuous understanding, of his statements, integrated with the appearance of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds relating to Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s constant, apparent, appealing to the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, attitude relating to immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to interest his political base, while mobilizing, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats appeal to, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, hence, the election result is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this short article will attempt to, briefly, think about, examine, examine, and talk about, 5 reasons, the President may be reelected (simply put, they may not, present, an efficient message, to defeat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are chosen: Two of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the prospective voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in adequate numbers, resented, he did not acquire the Democratic nomination, and, in the general election, a considerable variety of them, either, chose Trump, one of the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who announced, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, should have taught them a lesson! However, it appears, it has not, to a lot of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually assaulted other Democrats, except Bernie, consisting of Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, strategies, without adequate information, concerning expenses! The genuine question, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Party for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the nominee: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their advocates, back the ultimate Democratic prospect, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided party, is the friend of the President, because, his core supporters/ base, almost guarantee him, at least 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the polls? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the way, the President projects, against them, using scary rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent barrage, and scare – tactics, affect things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, many Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and impacts: It appears, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While surveys suggest Biden is still leading, in lots of states, in addition to total, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, should be worrying, as to how, he needs to stand – up, to Trump, specifically thinking about the currently, existing efforts, at implicating him, and his boy, of unproven, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may enthuse, specific aspects of the electorate, while likewise, frightening others! Mayor Pete, who looked like an option, has actually just recently, entered into conflicts with Warren, and does not appear, relied on, by certain minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might end up being compromise prospects, or will not get adequate traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an unusual, unique technique, avoiding the very first 4 primaries, not accepting any outdoors funds, and therefore, not participating in the party debates, and heavily investing his own monies, on his project. Whether this will get adequate traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as simply another billionaire, or someone, with the combination of abilities, experience, proficiency, Executive acumen, and means to win the basic election, doubts.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking chances, it appears, President Trump, in spite of lots of handicaps, starts as the chances – on, favorite! Don’t forget your Trump And Melania $2 Dollar Bill…