Trump 3 Dollar Bill
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Despite one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is very important to recognize, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be hard/ difficult, to precisely forecast. On one hand, President Trump will be able to indicate the positive state of the economy, and employment levels, which typically, would nearly guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. However, the constant understanding, of his statements, integrated with the look of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours concerning Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his method! This President’s consistent, apparent, interesting the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, attitude regarding immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to attract his political base, while setting in motion, both, those who support him, in addition to the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats interest, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, hence, the election outcome is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this post will try to, quickly, think about, take a look at, evaluate, and talk about, 5 reasons, the President may be reelected (in other words, they may not, present, a reliable message, to beat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: 2 of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the prospective citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ fans, in enough numbers, felt bitter, he did not acquire the Democratic nomination, and, in the basic election, a significant number of them, either, chose Trump, one of the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who announced, it wouldn’t matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, must have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to much of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually attacked other Democrats, other than Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, plans, without adequate information, relating to costs! The real question, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Party for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the nominee: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their fans, back the eventual Democratic prospect, or repeat the mistakes of 2016? A divided party, is the friend of the President, because, his core fans/ base, nearly ensure him, at least 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these voters, and, will the way, the President projects, versus them, utilizing scary rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a continuous bombardment, and scare – strategies, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, many Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and impacts: It appears, the field has narrowed, from over 20 candidates, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While surveys indicate Biden is still leading, in lots of states, as well as overall, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, ought to be concerning, as to how, he should stand – up, to Trump, specifically considering the already, existing attempts, at implicating him, and his boy, of unverified, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may excite, specific components of the electorate, while likewise, terrifying others! Mayor Pete, who appeared like an option, has just recently, entered into conflicts with Warren, and doesn’t appear, relied on, by particular minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might end up being compromise candidates, or will not get enough traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, special method, skipping the first 4 primaries, not accepting any outside funds, and therefore, not taking part in the party disputes, and greatly investing his own monies, on his campaign. Whether this will get sufficient traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as just another billionaire, or someone, with the mix of skills, experience, know-how, Executive acumen, and means to win the basic election, doubts.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking chances, it seems, President Trump, regardless of lots of handicaps, starts as the odds – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Trump 3 Dollar Bill…