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Despite one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is necessary to acknowledge, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be challenging/ tough, to accurately predict. On one hand, President Trump will be able to point to the positive state of the economy, and employment levels, which usually, would nearly ensure an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the constant understanding, of his declarations, combined with the appearance of disputes of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours concerning Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s consistent, obvious, appealing to the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, attitude concerning immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to appeal to his political base, while mobilizing, both, those who support him, along with the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats interest, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, thus, the election result is unpredictable! With that in mind, this article will attempt to, briefly, consider, examine, examine, and discuss, 5 reasons, the President may be reelected (simply put, they might not, present, an effective message, to beat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are chosen: 2 of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the prospective voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ advocates, in sufficient numbers, felt bitter, he did not get the Democratic nomination, and, in the basic election, a substantial number of them, either, chose Trump, among the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who declared, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, should have taught them a lesson! However, it appears, it has not, to a number of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually assaulted other Democrats, except Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, plans, without enough information, concerning costs! The genuine question, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Party for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their advocates, back the ultimate Democratic candidate, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided party, is the pal of the President, because, his core supporters/ base, almost ensure him, at least 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the way, the President projects, versus them, utilizing frightening rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a continuous bombardment, and scare – methods, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, many Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and effects: It seems, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls indicate Biden is still leading, in lots of states, as well as total, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, must be concerning, regarding how, he must stand – up, to Trump, particularly considering the currently, existing attempts, at accusing him, and his kid, of unverified, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may enthuse, specific elements of the electorate, while likewise, frightening others! Mayor Pete, who appeared like an option, has just recently, entered disputes with Warren, and doesn’t appear, relied on, by specific minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may end up being compromise prospects, or will not acquire enough traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an unusual, distinct method, skipping the very first 4 primaries, not accepting any outdoors funds, and thus, not participating in the party debates, and greatly spending his own cash, on his campaign. Whether this will get adequate traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as just another billionaire, or somebody, with the combination of abilities, experience, competence, Executive acumen, and implies to win the general election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking chances, it appears, President Trump, regardless of lots of handicaps, starts as the chances – on, favorite! Don’t forget your Trump 2020 Dollar Bill…