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Despite one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it’s important to recognize, the Governmental election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be hard/ difficult, to precisely predict. On one hand, President Trump will have the ability to indicate the favorable state of the economy, and employment levels, which usually, would almost guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. However, the constant understanding, of his declarations, integrated with the appearance of disputes of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds concerning Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s consistent, obvious, interesting the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, attitude regarding immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, seems to interest his political base, while setting in motion, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats interest, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, thus, the election outcome is unpredictable! With that in mind, this post will try to, quickly, consider, analyze, examine, and talk about, 5 reasons, the President might be reelected (in other words, they may not, present, an efficient message, to beat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are chosen: Two of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the possible citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ fans, in sufficient numbers, felt bitter, he did not get the Democratic nomination, and, in the general election, a significant variety of them, either, voted for Trump, among the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who proclaimed, it wouldn’t matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, must have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to many of them! Elizabeth Warren has attacked other Democrats, except Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, plans, without adequate detail, concerning expenses! The genuine question, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Party for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their supporters, back the ultimate Democratic candidate, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided celebration, is the friend of the President, because, his core fans/ base, almost ensure him, at least 35%, entering into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the polls? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these voters, and, will the way, the President campaigns, against them, utilizing scary rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a constant barrage, and scare – methods, affect things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, lots of Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and impacts: It appears, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls suggest Biden is still leading, in many states, in addition to overall, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, must be worrying, as to how, he needs to stand – up, to Trump, specifically considering the currently, existing efforts, at accusing him, and his boy, of unverified, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, might excite, specific elements of the electorate, while also, terrifying others! Mayor Pete, who seemed like an alternative, has actually just recently, entered into conflicts with Warren, and doesn’t appear, trusted, by particular minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may become compromise candidates, or will not gain enough traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, unique technique, avoiding the first 4 primaries, declining any outdoors funds, and therefore, not taking part in the party arguments, and heavily investing his own monies, on his project. Whether this will acquire adequate traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as just another billionaire, or somebody, with the mix of abilities, experience, expertise, Executive acumen, and means to win the basic election, doubts.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking chances, it appears, President Trump, regardless of many handicaps, begins as the odds – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Trump 2020 Dollar Bill Amazon…