Trump 2 Dollar Bill
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Regardless of one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is necessary to recognize, the Governmental election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be hard/ tough, to accurately predict. On one hand, President Trump will have the ability to indicate the favorable state of the economy, and work levels, which typically, would almost guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the continuous perception, of his statements, combined with the appearance of disputes of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds concerning Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s continuous, apparent, attracting the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, mindset regarding immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to appeal to his political base, while setting in motion, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats attract, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, thus, the election result is unpredictable! With that in mind, this post will try to, quickly, consider, take a look at, examine, and go over, 5 factors, the President may be reelected (to put it simply, they might not, present, an effective message, to beat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: 2 of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the prospective citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ fans, in sufficient numbers, felt bitter, he did not get the Democratic election, and, in the basic election, a substantial variety of them, either, chose Trump, among the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who proclaimed, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, need to have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to many of them! Elizabeth Warren has attacked other Democrats, other than Bernie, consisting of Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, strategies, without enough detail, relating to expenses! The real question, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Celebration for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the nominee: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their fans, back the eventual Democratic prospect, or repeat the mistakes of 2016? A divided party, is the friend of the President, because, his core fans/ base, nearly guarantee him, at least 35%, entering into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the polls? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these voters, and, will the way, the President campaigns, against them, using frightening rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent bombardment, and scare – techniques, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, numerous Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and effects: It appears, the field has narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls show Biden is still leading, in lots of states, along with total, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, ought to be concerning, as to how, he needs to stand – up, to Trump, especially thinking about the currently, existing efforts, at implicating him, and his child, of unproven, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may enthuse, particular aspects of the electorate, while likewise, terrifying others! Mayor Pete, who appeared like an alternative, has actually just recently, entered disputes with Warren, and doesn’t appear, trusted, by particular minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might end up being compromise prospects, or will not gain adequate traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an unusual, unique strategy, skipping the very first 4 primaries, not accepting any outside funds, and hence, not participating in the party debates, and heavily investing his own monies, on his project. Whether this will get enough traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as simply another billionaire, or somebody, with the mix of skills, experience, knowledge, Executive acumen, and indicates to win the basic election, doubts.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking odds, it seems, President Trump, in spite of numerous handicaps, begins as the chances – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Trump 2 Dollar Bill…