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No matter one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is very important to recognize, the Governmental election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be difficult/ tough, to precisely predict. On one hand, President Trump will have the ability to indicate the positive state of the economy, and employment levels, which usually, would nearly ensure an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the constant perception, of his declarations, combined with the look of disputes of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours relating to Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s continuous, obvious, interesting the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, attitude concerning immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to interest his political base, while mobilizing, both, those who support him, along with the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats appeal to, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, hence, the election outcome is unpredictable! With that in mind, this article will try to, briefly, consider, examine, review, and go over, 5 reasons, the President may be reelected (to put it simply, they may not, present, a reliable message, to defeat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: 2 of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the possible citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in enough numbers, resented, he did not acquire the Democratic election, and, in the general election, a considerable variety of them, either, voted for Trump, among the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who declared, it wouldn’t matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, need to have taught them a lesson! However, it appears, it has not, to a number of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually assaulted other Democrats, other than Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, strategies, without enough information, concerning costs! The real question, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Party for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their fans, back the eventual Democratic candidate, or repeat the mistakes of 2016? A divided party, is the pal of the President, because, his core fans/ base, almost guarantee him, at least 35%, entering into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the method, the President campaigns, versus them, using frightening rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent barrage, and scare – strategies, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, lots of Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and impacts: It appears, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 candidates, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls indicate Biden is still leading, in numerous states, as well as overall, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, need to be worrying, regarding how, he must stand – up, to Trump, especially considering the already, existing attempts, at implicating him, and his child, of unverified, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may excite, specific aspects of the electorate, while also, frightening others! Mayor Pete, who seemed like an option, has just recently, gotten into disputes with Warren, and does not appear, relied on, by specific minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may end up being compromise candidates, or won’t gain sufficient traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an unusual, distinct strategy, skipping the very first 4 primaries, declining any outside funds, and therefore, not participating in the celebration disputes, and greatly spending his own monies, on his campaign. Whether this will gain sufficient traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as simply another billionaire, or someone, with the mix of abilities, experience, competence, Executive acumen, and indicates to win the general election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking chances, it appears, President Trump, in spite of many handicaps, starts as the odds – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Trump 1000 Dollar Bills…