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Regardless of one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is necessary to recognize, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be challenging/ challenging, to precisely anticipate. On one hand, President Trump will be able to indicate the favorable state of the economy, and employment levels, which typically, would nearly guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the continuous understanding, of his declarations, combined with the appearance of disputes of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds concerning Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s constant, evident, appealing to the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, mindset concerning immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to attract his political base, while activating, both, those who support him, along with the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats interest, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, hence, the election result is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this short article will attempt to, quickly, think about, analyze, examine, and discuss, 5 reasons, the President may be reelected (simply put, they may not, present, a reliable message, to beat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: Two of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by some of the prospective voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in sufficient numbers, resented, he did not get the Democratic nomination, and, in the general election, a significant variety of them, either, voted for Trump, among the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who announced, it wouldn’t matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, must have taught them a lesson! However, it appears, it has not, to much of them! Elizabeth Warren has attacked other Democrats, other than Bernie, consisting of Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, plans, without sufficient information, concerning costs! The genuine concern, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Party for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the nominee: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their advocates, back the ultimate Democratic candidate, or repeat the mistakes of 2016? A divided party, is the buddy of the President, because, his core supporters/ base, almost guarantee him, a minimum of 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the method, the President projects, against them, utilizing scary rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a continuous bombardment, and scare – tactics, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, many Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and impacts: It seems, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls suggest Biden is still leading, in numerous states, along with general, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, ought to be concerning, as to how, he must stand – up, to Trump, specifically considering the currently, existing attempts, at implicating him, and his child, of unverified, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, might enthuse, specific components of the electorate, while likewise, scaring others! Mayor Pete, who seemed like an option, has actually just recently, entered into disputes with Warren, and doesn’t appear, relied on, by certain minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may end up being compromise candidates, or won’t gain sufficient traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, distinct strategy, skipping the first 4 primaries, not accepting any outdoors funds, and hence, not participating in the celebration disputes, and heavily investing his own monies, on his campaign. Whether this will acquire adequate traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as simply another billionaire, or someone, with the combination of abilities, experience, expertise, Executive acumen, and means to win the basic election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking chances, it appears, President Trump, in spite of many handicaps, begins as the odds – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Trump 1000 Dollar Bill Gold…