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Despite one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is very important to acknowledge, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be difficult/ challenging, to accurately predict. On one hand, President Trump will be able to point to the favorable state of the economy, and work levels, which normally, would almost guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. However, the continuous understanding, of his declarations, combined with the look of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours concerning Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s continuous, apparent, attracting the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, mindset relating to immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, seems to attract his political base, while mobilizing, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats appeal to, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, hence, the election result is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this article will attempt to, briefly, think about, analyze, review, and talk about, 5 reasons, the President might be reelected (to put it simply, they might not, present, a reliable message, to beat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: 2 of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the possible citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in adequate numbers, resented, he did not obtain the Democratic nomination, and, in the general election, a considerable number of them, either, elected Trump, one of the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who announced, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, need to have taught them a lesson! However, it appears, it has not, to a lot of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually assaulted other Democrats, except Bernie, consisting of Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, plans, without adequate detail, concerning expenses! The genuine concern, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Celebration for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their advocates, back the ultimate Democratic prospect, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided party, is the good friend of the President, because, his core fans/ base, nearly guarantee him, at least 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the method, the President projects, versus them, utilizing scary rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a continuous bombardment, and scare – techniques, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, lots of Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and effects: It appears, the field has narrowed, from over 20 candidates, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls show Biden is still leading, in lots of states, in addition to overall, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, ought to be concerning, as to how, he needs to stand – up, to Trump, especially considering the currently, existing efforts, at implicating him, and his child, of unproven, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, might excite, specific aspects of the electorate, while likewise, scaring others! Mayor Pete, who appeared like an alternative, has actually just recently, entered conflicts with Warren, and doesn’t appear, trusted, by specific minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might become compromise candidates, or won’t get enough traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an unusual, distinct strategy, avoiding the very first 4 primaries, declining any outdoors funds, and thus, not participating in the celebration debates, and greatly investing his own cash, on his project. Whether this will get sufficient traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as just another billionaire, or somebody, with the mix of skills, experience, knowledge, Executive acumen, and suggests to win the general election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking odds, it appears, President Trump, in spite of lots of handicaps, begins as the chances – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Trump 100 Dollar Bill 2020…