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Regardless of one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is essential to recognize, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be hard/ challenging, to properly predict. On one hand, President Trump will have the ability to point to the positive state of the economy, and employment levels, which usually, would nearly guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the continuous understanding, of his statements, combined with the appearance of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours relating to Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s continuous, obvious, interesting the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, attitude regarding immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to attract his political base, while setting in motion, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats interest, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, thus, the election result is unpredictable! With that in mind, this article will try to, briefly, consider, analyze, examine, and go over, 5 factors, the President may be reelected (to put it simply, they may not, present, an effective message, to defeat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are chosen: Two of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the possible voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in adequate numbers, frowned at, he did not get the Democratic election, and, in the general election, a considerable number of them, either, elected Trump, one of the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who proclaimed, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, ought to have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to a lot of them! Elizabeth Warren has assaulted other Democrats, other than Bernie, consisting of Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, strategies, without enough information, regarding expenses! The genuine concern, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Celebration for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their fans, back the ultimate Democratic prospect, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided celebration, is the good friend of the President, because, his core fans/ base, almost ensure him, at least 35%, entering into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the method, the President campaigns, versus them, utilizing frightening rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent barrage, and scare – methods, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, many Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and effects: It seems, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 candidates, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls indicate Biden is still leading, in lots of states, in addition to general, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, should be worrying, as to how, he should stand – up, to Trump, specifically considering the currently, existing attempts, at implicating him, and his child, of unverified, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may excite, particular components of the electorate, while likewise, terrifying others! Mayor Pete, who looked like an option, has just recently, entered conflicts with Warren, and doesn’t appear, trusted, by certain minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might become compromise prospects, or won’t acquire enough traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, distinct method, avoiding the first 4 primaries, not accepting any outdoors funds, and thus, not participating in the party disputes, and greatly spending his own monies, on his project. Whether this will get enough traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as simply another billionaire, or someone, with the combination of skills, experience, proficiency, Executive acumen, and implies to win the basic election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking chances, it appears, President Trump, regardless of many handicaps, begins as the chances – on, preferred! Don’t forget your President Trump 2020 Dollar Bill…