President Trump 2 Dollar Bill
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Despite one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is essential to acknowledge, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be challenging/ tough, to properly anticipate. On one hand, President Trump will be able to indicate the favorable state of the economy, and work levels, which typically, would almost ensure an incumbent’s reelection. However, the constant perception, of his statements, integrated with the look of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours regarding Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s continuous, apparent, appealing to the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, mindset regarding immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to appeal to his political base, while activating, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats appeal to, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, therefore, the election result is unpredictable! With that in mind, this short article will try to, quickly, think about, examine, examine, and discuss, 5 reasons, the President may be reelected (simply put, they may not, present, a reliable message, to beat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: 2 of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by some of the prospective voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ advocates, in adequate numbers, frowned at, he did not obtain the Democratic election, and, in the general election, a considerable number of them, either, chose Trump, among the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who declared, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, need to have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to a lot of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually assaulted other Democrats, other than Bernie, consisting of Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, strategies, without enough information, relating to expenses! The genuine question, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Party for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their supporters, back the eventual Democratic candidate, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided party, is the friend of the President, because, his core advocates/ base, almost ensure him, at least 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the polls? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these voters, and, will the way, the President campaigns, versus them, using scary rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a constant bombardment, and scare – techniques, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, numerous Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and impacts: It seems, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 candidates, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While surveys suggest Biden is still leading, in lots of states, along with overall, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, must be worrying, as to how, he needs to stand – up, to Trump, especially thinking about the already, existing attempts, at accusing him, and his child, of unverified, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, might enthuse, specific components of the electorate, while also, scaring others! Mayor Pete, who looked like an option, has actually recently, gotten into disagreements with Warren, and does not appear, trusted, by certain minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might become compromise candidates, or won’t get sufficient traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, distinct method, avoiding the very first 4 primaries, not accepting any outdoors funds, and hence, not participating in the celebration arguments, and heavily spending his own monies, on his campaign. Whether this will get sufficient traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as just another billionaire, or someone, with the combination of abilities, experience, proficiency, Executive acumen, and means to win the general election, doubts.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking chances, it appears, President Trump, regardless of numerous handicaps, starts as the chances – on, preferred! Don’t forget your President Trump 2 Dollar Bill…