New Trump Dollar Bill
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Regardless of one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is essential to recognize, the Governmental election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be hard/ challenging, to precisely forecast. On one hand, President Trump will have the ability to point to the positive state of the economy, and work levels, which typically, would almost guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. However, the continuous perception, of his statements, combined with the appearance of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds concerning Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s continuous, obvious, appealing to the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, mindset concerning immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, seems to attract his political base, while mobilizing, both, those who support him, in addition to the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats attract, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, thus, the election result is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this post will try to, briefly, consider, take a look at, evaluate, and go over, 5 reasons, the President might be reelected (in other words, they might not, present, a reliable message, to defeat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: 2 of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by some of the prospective voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in sufficient numbers, resented, he did not acquire the Democratic nomination, and, in the basic election, a substantial number of them, either, chose Trump, among the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who declared, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, should have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to a number of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually assaulted other Democrats, except Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, plans, without enough information, relating to expenses! The real question, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Party for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the nominee: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their fans, back the ultimate Democratic prospect, or repeat the mistakes of 2016? A divided party, is the pal of the President, because, his core advocates/ base, nearly ensure him, at least 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the polls? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these voters, and, will the way, the President projects, against them, using frightening rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a constant barrage, and scare – techniques, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, lots of Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and effects: It seems, the field has narrowed, from over 20 candidates, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While surveys indicate Biden is still leading, in numerous states, in addition to general, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, should be worrying, as to how, he needs to stand – up, to Trump, specifically thinking about the currently, existing efforts, at implicating him, and his son, of unproven, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may enthuse, certain elements of the electorate, while also, terrifying others! Mayor Pete, who seemed like an alternative, has actually recently, entered into disputes with Warren, and doesn’t appear, relied on, by certain minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may become compromise candidates, or will not get adequate traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an unusual, distinct method, skipping the first 4 primaries, not accepting any outdoors funds, and hence, not taking part in the celebration disputes, and heavily investing his own monies, on his project. Whether this will acquire adequate traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as simply another billionaire, or somebody, with the combination of abilities, experience, proficiency, Executive acumen, and suggests to win the basic election, doubts.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking odds, it appears, President Trump, in spite of numerous handicaps, begins as the odds – on, favorite! Don’t forget your New Trump Dollar Bill…