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Despite one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it’s important to acknowledge, the Governmental election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be difficult/ challenging, to precisely forecast. On one hand, President Trump will have the ability to point to the positive state of the economy, and employment levels, which typically, would nearly ensure an incumbent’s reelection. However, the continuous perception, of his statements, combined with the appearance of disputes of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds regarding Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his method! This President’s continuous, apparent, interesting the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, mindset relating to immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, seems to appeal to his political base, while setting in motion, both, those who support him, in addition to the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats appeal to, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, hence, the election result is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this short article will attempt to, quickly, think about, take a look at, examine, and talk about, 5 reasons, the President might be reelected (in other words, they may not, present, an efficient message, to defeat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: 2 of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the possible citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in adequate numbers, frowned at, he did not obtain the Democratic election, and, in the basic election, a significant number of them, either, voted for Trump, among the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who proclaimed, it wouldn’t matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, need to have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to many of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually attacked other Democrats, other than Bernie, consisting of Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, strategies, without sufficient detail, regarding costs! The real concern, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Party for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their supporters, back the ultimate Democratic candidate, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided party, is the pal of the President, because, his core advocates/ base, almost guarantee him, a minimum of 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the polls? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the way, the President projects, against them, utilizing frightening rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent barrage, and scare – techniques, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, numerous Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and impacts: It seems, the field has narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While surveys suggest Biden is still leading, in many states, as well as general, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, must be worrying, as to how, he needs to stand – up, to Trump, specifically considering the already, existing efforts, at implicating him, and his boy, of unproven, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may excite, specific components of the electorate, while also, terrifying others! Mayor Pete, who seemed like an alternative, has actually just recently, gotten into conflicts with Warren, and does not appear, trusted, by particular minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might become compromise prospects, or will not get enough traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, special technique, skipping the first 4 primaries, not accepting any outside funds, and therefore, not participating in the party disputes, and greatly investing his own cash, on his campaign. Whether this will get adequate traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as simply another billionaire, or somebody, with the mix of skills, experience, know-how, Executive acumen, and implies to win the general election, doubts.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking odds, it seems, President Trump, regardless of lots of handicaps, starts as the chances – on, favorite! Don’t forget your Million Dollar Bill Trump…