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Regardless of one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is necessary to recognize, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be difficult/ difficult, to precisely anticipate. On one hand, President Trump will be able to point to the positive state of the economy, and employment levels, which usually, would nearly guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the continuous understanding, of his statements, integrated with the appearance of disputes of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours regarding Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s constant, obvious, attracting the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, mindset regarding immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, seems to appeal to his political base, while mobilizing, both, those who support him, in addition to the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats appeal to, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, thus, the election outcome is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this article will try to, quickly, consider, take a look at, evaluate, and talk about, 5 reasons, the President might be reelected (to put it simply, they may not, present, a reliable message, to beat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are chosen: 2 of the candidates in the race, are thought about, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the possible voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ fans, in adequate numbers, resented, he did not get the Democratic nomination, and, in the basic election, a substantial variety of them, either, elected Trump, one of the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who announced, it wouldn’t matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, ought to have taught them a lesson! However, it appears, it has not, to much of them! Elizabeth Warren has assaulted other Democrats, other than Bernie, consisting of Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, strategies, without enough information, concerning expenses! The genuine concern, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Celebration for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their fans, back the ultimate Democratic prospect, or repeat the mistakes of 2016? A divided party, is the friend of the President, because, his core fans/ base, nearly ensure him, at least 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the method, the President campaigns, versus them, using scary rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a constant barrage, and scare – techniques, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, numerous Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and effects: It seems, the field has narrowed, from over 20 candidates, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls show Biden is still leading, in numerous states, along with general, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, should be worrying, regarding how, he must stand – up, to Trump, particularly thinking about the currently, existing efforts, at accusing him, and his son, of unverified, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may enthuse, certain aspects of the electorate, while likewise, scaring others! Mayor Pete, who seemed like an alternative, has just recently, gotten into conflicts with Warren, and doesn’t appear, trusted, by certain minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may become compromise candidates, or won’t gain adequate traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an unusual, unique method, skipping the very first 4 primaries, not accepting any outdoors funds, and therefore, not taking part in the party arguments, and greatly spending his own monies, on his project. Whether this will get adequate traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as simply another billionaire, or somebody, with the mix of abilities, experience, competence, Executive acumen, and suggests to win the basic election, doubts.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking odds, it seems, President Trump, regardless of many handicaps, starts as the odds – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Melania Trump 2 Dollar Bill…