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Regardless of one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is essential to acknowledge, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be difficult/ tough, to accurately forecast. On one hand, President Trump will be able to point to the favorable state of the economy, and work levels, which normally, would almost ensure an incumbent’s reelection. However, the continuous perception, of his statements, integrated with the appearance of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds regarding Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his method! This President’s constant, evident, attracting the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, attitude relating to immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to appeal to his political base, while setting in motion, both, those who support him, in addition to the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats attract, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, thus, the election result is unpredictable! With that in mind, this post will attempt to, quickly, consider, examine, evaluate, and talk about, 5 factors, the President might be reelected (simply put, they may not, present, an effective message, to defeat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: Two of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by some of the potential citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ fans, in adequate numbers, felt bitter, he did not obtain the Democratic election, and, in the basic election, a significant number of them, either, elected Trump, among the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who announced, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, need to have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to much of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually attacked other Democrats, other than Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, strategies, without adequate detail, concerning expenses! The genuine question, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Celebration for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the nominee: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their supporters, back the eventual Democratic prospect, or repeat the mistakes of 2016? A divided party, is the good friend of the President, because, his core advocates/ base, nearly guarantee him, a minimum of 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the way, the President campaigns, versus them, utilizing frightening rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a continuous bombardment, and scare – methods, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, many Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and impacts: It seems, the field has narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While surveys indicate Biden is still leading, in numerous states, as well as general, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, ought to be concerning, as to how, he should stand – up, to Trump, especially thinking about the already, existing attempts, at accusing him, and his son, of unproven, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may excite, certain aspects of the electorate, while also, frightening others! Mayor Pete, who seemed like an alternative, has actually just recently, entered into conflicts with Warren, and doesn’t appear, trusted, by specific minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may end up being compromise candidates, or will not gain enough traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an unusual, distinct strategy, skipping the first 4 primaries, declining any outside funds, and thus, not taking part in the celebration disputes, and greatly investing his own monies, on his campaign. Whether this will get sufficient traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as simply another billionaire, or someone, with the combination of abilities, experience, knowledge, Executive acumen, and indicates to win the general election, doubts.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking odds, it seems, President Trump, despite lots of handicaps, begins as the odds – on, favorite! Don’t forget your Is The Trump Dollar Bill Real…