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Regardless of one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is essential to recognize, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be challenging/ tough, to properly anticipate. On one hand, President Trump will be able to indicate the positive state of the economy, and work levels, which usually, would nearly guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the constant perception, of his statements, combined with the appearance of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours relating to Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s constant, obvious, appealing to the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, attitude regarding immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to appeal to his political base, while activating, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats interest, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, therefore, the election result is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this article will try to, quickly, think about, analyze, examine, and discuss, 5 reasons, the President may be reelected (simply put, they might not, present, a reliable message, to beat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: 2 of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by some of the possible citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in enough numbers, frowned at, he did not obtain the Democratic election, and, in the general election, a significant number of them, either, chose Trump, among the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who announced, it wouldn’t matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, should have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to a number of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually assaulted other Democrats, except Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, strategies, without adequate detail, concerning costs! The genuine question, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Celebration for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their fans, back the eventual Democratic prospect, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided party, is the buddy of the President, because, his core fans/ base, nearly guarantee him, a minimum of 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these voters, and, will the way, the President campaigns, versus them, utilizing frightening rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent barrage, and scare – strategies, affect things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, numerous Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and effects: It appears, the field has narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls show Biden is still leading, in many states, as well as total, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, ought to be concerning, as to how, he must stand – up, to Trump, especially considering the already, existing efforts, at implicating him, and his boy, of unproven, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, might excite, particular components of the electorate, while likewise, frightening others! Mayor Pete, who looked like an alternative, has actually recently, entered into conflicts with Warren, and doesn’t appear, relied on, by particular minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might end up being compromise candidates, or will not gain adequate traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an unusual, special strategy, skipping the first 4 primaries, not accepting any outdoors funds, and hence, not taking part in the celebration arguments, and heavily investing his own cash, on his campaign. Whether this will acquire enough traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as simply another billionaire, or somebody, with the mix of abilities, experience, knowledge, Executive acumen, and implies to win the basic election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking odds, it appears, President Trump, in spite of numerous handicaps, starts as the odds – on, favorite! Don’t forget your Free Trump Dollar Bill…