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No matter one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is essential to acknowledge, the Governmental election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be challenging/ challenging, to accurately predict. On one hand, President Trump will be able to indicate the favorable state of the economy, and employment levels, which normally, would almost ensure an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the continuous understanding, of his declarations, integrated with the appearance of disputes of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds concerning Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s consistent, apparent, attracting the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, attitude relating to immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, seems to attract his political base, while setting in motion, both, those who support him, along with the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats attract, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, thus, the election result is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this post will try to, briefly, consider, examine, examine, and go over, 5 factors, the President may be reelected (to put it simply, they may not, present, an effective message, to defeat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are chosen: Two of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the possible voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in adequate numbers, felt bitter, he did not obtain the Democratic election, and, in the general election, a considerable variety of them, either, chose Trump, among the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who proclaimed, it wouldn’t matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, should have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to a lot of them! Elizabeth Warren has attacked other Democrats, other than Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, plans, without enough information, concerning costs! The real concern, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Celebration for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their supporters, back the eventual Democratic prospect, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided celebration, is the friend of the President, because, his core supporters/ base, almost guarantee him, at least 35%, entering into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the method, the President campaigns, against them, using frightening rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent barrage, and scare – strategies, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, many Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and effects: It appears, the field has narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While surveys indicate Biden is still leading, in many states, along with overall, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, must be worrying, as to how, he must stand – up, to Trump, especially thinking about the currently, existing efforts, at implicating him, and his kid, of unproven, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, might enthuse, certain aspects of the electorate, while likewise, frightening others! Mayor Pete, who looked like an option, has recently, entered disputes with Warren, and does not appear, relied on, by particular minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may end up being compromise prospects, or will not gain adequate traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an unusual, unique strategy, skipping the first 4 primaries, not accepting any outside funds, and thus, not taking part in the celebration debates, and greatly investing his own monies, on his project. Whether this will gain enough traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as simply another billionaire, or somebody, with the combination of abilities, experience, expertise, Executive acumen, and means to win the general election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking odds, it appears, President Trump, despite numerous handicaps, begins as the chances – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Free Trump Campaign Materials…