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No matter one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is very important to acknowledge, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be tough/ tough, to precisely predict. On one hand, President Trump will have the ability to point to the positive state of the economy, and employment levels, which generally, would almost guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. However, the continuous understanding, of his declarations, integrated with the appearance of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours regarding Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s continuous, obvious, attracting the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, attitude concerning immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, seems to appeal to his political base, while setting in motion, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats attract, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, therefore, the election result is unpredictable! With that in mind, this post will try to, briefly, consider, analyze, evaluate, and go over, 5 reasons, the President may be reelected (simply put, they might not, present, an effective message, to beat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are chosen: Two of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the prospective citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in enough numbers, frowned at, he did not obtain the Democratic election, and, in the general election, a significant number of them, either, elected Trump, one of the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who announced, it wouldn’t matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, should have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to much of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually attacked other Democrats, except Bernie, consisting of Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, plans, without enough information, concerning costs! The real question, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Party for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the nominee: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their fans, back the eventual Democratic candidate, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided party, is the friend of the President, because, his core advocates/ base, almost guarantee him, a minimum of 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the way, the President campaigns, versus them, using scary rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent bombardment, and scare – methods, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, lots of Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and impacts: It seems, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While surveys show Biden is still leading, in lots of states, in addition to general, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, must be worrying, as to how, he should stand – up, to Trump, particularly considering the already, existing efforts, at implicating him, and his boy, of unverified, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may excite, certain aspects of the electorate, while likewise, scaring others! Mayor Pete, who looked like an option, has actually recently, entered into disputes with Warren, and does not appear, relied on, by specific minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might end up being compromise prospects, or won’t acquire sufficient traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, special method, skipping the first 4 primaries, not accepting any outdoors funds, and thus, not participating in the celebration disputes, and heavily spending his own cash, on his campaign. Whether this will acquire sufficient traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as simply another billionaire, or someone, with the mix of skills, experience, know-how, Executive acumen, and implies to win the basic election, doubts.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking chances, it seems, President Trump, despite many handicaps, starts as the chances – on, favorite! Don’t forget your Free Feminist Stickers…