Five Dollar Bill Trump
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No matter one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is very important to acknowledge, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be tough/ difficult, to properly anticipate. On one hand, President Trump will have the ability to indicate the positive state of the economy, and employment levels, which normally, would almost guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the continuous understanding, of his declarations, integrated with the look of disputes of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours concerning Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his method! This President’s continuous, apparent, appealing to the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, attitude concerning immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to appeal to his political base, while mobilizing, both, those who support him, in addition to the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats interest, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, hence, the election result is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this post will try to, quickly, consider, examine, evaluate, and talk about, 5 factors, the President might be reelected (in other words, they may not, present, a reliable message, to beat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are chosen: 2 of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the possible voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in enough numbers, resented, he did not get the Democratic election, and, in the basic election, a significant variety of them, either, voted for Trump, one of the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who announced, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, ought to have taught them a lesson! However, it appears, it has not, to a number of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually attacked other Democrats, other than Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, strategies, without adequate information, relating to costs! The real question, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Party for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the nominee: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their advocates, back the eventual Democratic candidate, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided party, is the friend of the President, because, his core advocates/ base, nearly ensure him, a minimum of 35%, entering into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the way, the President campaigns, versus them, using frightening rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent bombardment, and scare – strategies, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, lots of Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their fear and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and effects: It appears, the field has narrowed, from over 20 candidates, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls indicate Biden is still leading, in many states, as well as general, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, ought to be worrying, regarding how, he must stand – up, to Trump, specifically thinking about the already, existing attempts, at implicating him, and his child, of unverified, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, might enthuse, specific components of the electorate, while likewise, frightening others! Mayor Pete, who looked like an option, has just recently, gotten into conflicts with Warren, and does not appear, trusted, by particular minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might become compromise candidates, or won’t acquire sufficient traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, special method, avoiding the very first 4 primaries, declining any outdoors funds, and hence, not participating in the party arguments, and heavily spending his own cash, on his campaign. Whether this will gain enough traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as simply another billionaire, or somebody, with the combination of abilities, experience, expertise, Executive acumen, and means to win the basic election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking chances, it appears, President Trump, in spite of many handicaps, begins as the odds – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Five Dollar Bill Trump…