Donald Trump Thousand Dollar Bill
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Regardless of one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is necessary to recognize, the Governmental election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be challenging/ challenging, to properly forecast. On one hand, President Trump will be able to indicate the favorable state of the economy, and work levels, which usually, would nearly guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. However, the constant perception, of his statements, integrated with the look of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours relating to Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his method! This President’s constant, obvious, appealing to the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, mindset concerning immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, seems to appeal to his political base, while setting in motion, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats interest, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, thus, the election outcome is unpredictable! With that in mind, this post will attempt to, quickly, consider, examine, review, and go over, 5 reasons, the President might be reelected (in other words, they might not, present, a reliable message, to defeat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: 2 of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by some of the potential voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in sufficient numbers, felt bitter, he did not acquire the Democratic election, and, in the general election, a considerable variety of them, either, chose Trump, one of the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who proclaimed, it wouldn’t matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, should have taught them a lesson! However, it appears, it has not, to many of them! Elizabeth Warren has assaulted other Democrats, except Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, plans, without adequate information, relating to expenses! The genuine concern, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Party for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the nominee: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their supporters, back the ultimate Democratic candidate, or repeat the mistakes of 2016? A divided celebration, is the friend of the President, because, his core advocates/ base, nearly guarantee him, at least 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the way, the President campaigns, versus them, using scary rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent bombardment, and scare – strategies, affect things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, many Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and impacts: It appears, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 candidates, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls show Biden is still leading, in many states, along with general, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, should be worrying, as to how, he must stand – up, to Trump, specifically considering the already, existing efforts, at accusing him, and his kid, of unproven, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, might enthuse, particular elements of the electorate, while also, terrifying others! Mayor Pete, who looked like an alternative, has actually just recently, entered disputes with Warren, and does not appear, trusted, by certain minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might end up being compromise prospects, or won’t gain enough traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, distinct method, skipping the very first 4 primaries, declining any outside funds, and thus, not taking part in the celebration disputes, and heavily spending his own cash, on his project. Whether this will gain adequate traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as simply another billionaire, or someone, with the combination of abilities, experience, proficiency, Executive acumen, and indicates to win the general election, doubts.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking odds, it appears, President Trump, regardless of many handicaps, begins as the odds – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Donald Trump Thousand Dollar Bill…