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Regardless of one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is very important to recognize, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be difficult/ difficult, to accurately anticipate. On one hand, President Trump will be able to indicate the positive state of the economy, and employment levels, which usually, would almost guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the constant understanding, of his statements, integrated with the appearance of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours relating to Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his method! This President’s constant, apparent, appealing to the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, mindset relating to immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to appeal to his political base, while mobilizing, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats appeal to, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, thus, the election result is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this article will attempt to, quickly, think about, analyze, examine, and go over, 5 reasons, the President may be reelected (simply put, they might not, present, a reliable message, to defeat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: Two of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the potential citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in adequate numbers, resented, he did not get the Democratic nomination, and, in the basic election, a considerable number of them, either, elected Trump, among the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who announced, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past 3 years, ought to have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to many of them! Elizabeth Warren has assaulted other Democrats, other than Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, plans, without enough detail, regarding expenses! The genuine question, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Celebration for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their fans, back the ultimate Democratic prospect, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided party, is the friend of the President, because, his core supporters/ base, almost guarantee him, a minimum of 35%, entering into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the polls? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the method, the President campaigns, against them, utilizing scary rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a continuous bombardment, and scare – strategies, impact things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, many Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and effects: It seems, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls show Biden is still leading, in many states, as well as general, his tendency to put his foot, in his mouth, need to be worrying, regarding how, he must stand – up, to Trump, specifically considering the currently, existing efforts, at implicating him, and his son, of unproven, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may enthuse, certain components of the electorate, while likewise, scaring others! Mayor Pete, who seemed like an alternative, has actually just recently, entered into conflicts with Warren, and doesn’t appear, trusted, by certain minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may end up being compromise candidates, or won’t acquire adequate traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, special technique, skipping the very first 4 primaries, declining any outdoors funds, and hence, not participating in the celebration disputes, and greatly spending his own monies, on his project. Whether this will acquire enough traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as simply another billionaire, or someone, with the combination of abilities, experience, know-how, Executive acumen, and indicates to win the basic election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking odds, it seems, President Trump, regardless of lots of handicaps, starts as the odds – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Donald Trump Million Dollar Bill…