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Regardless of one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is necessary to acknowledge, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be tough/ tough, to properly predict. On one hand, President Trump will be able to indicate the positive state of the economy, and work levels, which usually, would almost guarantee an incumbent’s reelection. However, the constant perception, of his statements, combined with the look of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours concerning Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s continuous, obvious, appealing to the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, mindset relating to immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to appeal to his political base, while activating, both, those who support him, along with the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats appeal to, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, therefore, the election outcome is unpredictable! With that in mind, this article will try to, briefly, consider, take a look at, evaluate, and discuss, 5 reasons, the President may be reelected (simply put, they may not, present, an efficient message, to defeat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are chosen: Two of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by some of the prospective voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ advocates, in sufficient numbers, felt bitter, he did not acquire the Democratic election, and, in the basic election, a considerable number of them, either, voted for Trump, among the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who proclaimed, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, ought to have taught them a lesson! However, it appears, it has not, to a lot of them! Elizabeth Warren has attacked other Democrats, other than Bernie, consisting of Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, strategies, without sufficient information, regarding expenses! The genuine concern, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, citizens will blame the Democratic Celebration for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the nominee: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their advocates, back the eventual Democratic candidate, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided celebration, is the friend of the President, because, his core supporters/ base, almost guarantee him, at least 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the way, the President projects, against them, using scary rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a constant bombardment, and scare – techniques, affect things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, numerous Moderates might fear either, of the two candidates, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and effects: It seems, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls show Biden is still leading, in many states, along with overall, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, need to be concerning, regarding how, he should stand – up, to Trump, particularly thinking about the currently, existing efforts, at accusing him, and his son, of unverified, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may excite, certain elements of the electorate, while likewise, scaring others! Mayor Pete, who appeared like an alternative, has actually just recently, entered disagreements with Warren, and doesn’t appear, relied on, by certain minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may become compromise candidates, or will not acquire sufficient traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, distinct strategy, avoiding the very first 4 primaries, not accepting any outside funds, and thus, not participating in the celebration disputes, and greatly investing his own cash, on his campaign. Whether this will gain enough traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as just another billionaire, or somebody, with the combination of skills, experience, expertise, Executive acumen, and indicates to win the basic election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking chances, it seems, President Trump, regardless of many handicaps, starts as the chances – on, preferred! Don’t forget your Donald Trump Gold Dollar Bill…