2020 Donald Trump Dollar Bill
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Regardless of one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is very important to recognize, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be hard/ tough, to accurately predict. On one hand, President Trump will have the ability to indicate the positive state of the economy, and employment levels, which usually, would almost ensure an incumbent’s reelection. However, the continuous understanding, of his declarations, combined with the appearance of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds regarding Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s consistent, evident, attracting the coarser instincts of Americans, from his seeming, attitude relating to immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, seems to interest his political base, while activating, both, those who support him, in addition to the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats appeal to, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, therefore, the election result is unpredictable! With that in mind, this post will attempt to, briefly, consider, take a look at, review, and go over, 5 reasons, the President might be reelected (in other words, they might not, present, an effective message, to defeat him, at the surveys).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: Two of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the potential citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ advocates, in enough numbers, frowned at, he did not acquire the Democratic election, and, in the general election, a considerable variety of them, either, voted for Trump, among the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who declared, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, should have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to a number of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually attacked other Democrats, except Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, strategies, without enough detail, regarding expenses! The genuine concern, with both these prospects, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Party for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their advocates, back the eventual Democratic prospect, or repeat the mistakes of 2016? A divided celebration, is the friend of the President, because, his core fans/ base, almost ensure him, at least 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidateship of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these voters, and, will the method, the President campaigns, against them, using scary rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a constant barrage, and scare – techniques, affect things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, many Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, noted above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the polls, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more effective?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and impacts: It appears, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 candidates, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls suggest Biden is still leading, in numerous states, as well as total, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, must be concerning, as to how, he should stand – up, to Trump, especially thinking about the already, existing attempts, at implicating him, and his kid, of unverified, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may excite, specific components of the electorate, while likewise, frightening others! Mayor Pete, who appeared like an option, has just recently, entered into disputes with Warren, and doesn’t appear, relied on, by particular minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may become compromise candidates, or won’t gain enough traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, distinct method, avoiding the very first 4 primaries, declining any outside funds, and hence, not participating in the celebration arguments, and heavily spending his own monies, on his project. Whether this will gain sufficient traction, and whether, he will be perceived, as just another billionaire, or somebody, with the combination of abilities, experience, know-how, Executive acumen, and suggests to win the basic election, doubts.
As you can see, this is complicated. If we were taking chances, it seems, President Trump, regardless of lots of handicaps, begins as the odds – on, preferred! Don’t forget your 2020 Donald Trump Dollar Bill…