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Despite one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it’s important to recognize, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be challenging/ difficult, to properly anticipate. On one hand, President Trump will be able to point to the favorable state of the economy, and work levels, which generally, would nearly ensure an incumbent’s reelection. Nevertheless, the continuous perception, of his declarations, integrated with the look of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misbehaviours relating to Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his way! This President’s consistent, obvious, appealing to the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, mindset concerning immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to interest his political base, while activating, both, those who support him, as well as the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats interest, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, hence, the election outcome is unpredictable! With that in mind, this short article will try to, quickly, think about, take a look at, evaluate, and discuss, 5 reasons, the President might be reelected (in other words, they may not, present, a reliable message, to defeat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: 2 of the prospects in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the possible citizens! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ advocates, in enough numbers, resented, he did not get the Democratic election, and, in the basic election, a significant number of them, either, voted for Trump, one of the minority candidates, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who declared, it would not matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, need to have taught them a lesson! However, it appears, it has not, to many of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually attacked other Democrats, other than Bernie, consisting of Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while presenting so – called, plans, without adequate detail, concerning costs! The real concern, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Party for over – promising, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the candidate, will their advocates, back the eventual Democratic candidate, or repeat the mistakes of 2016? A divided celebration, is the good friend of the President, because, his core supporters/ base, nearly ensure him, at least 35%, entering into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these voters, and, will the way, the President campaigns, against them, utilizing frightening rhetoric? We might anticipate to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a continuous barrage, and scare – tactics, affect things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, numerous Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Candidate – possibilities, and impacts: It seems, the field has narrowed, from over 20 candidates, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While surveys show Biden is still leading, in many states, as well as overall, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, ought to be concerning, as to how, he should stand – up, to Trump, particularly thinking about the already, existing efforts, at accusing him, and his kid, of unproven, misbehavior! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, may enthuse, certain elements of the electorate, while also, terrifying others! Mayor Pete, who seemed like an option, has actually recently, gotten into disagreements with Warren, and does not appear, relied on, by particular minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, might end up being compromise prospects, or won’t gain adequate traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an unusual, unique strategy, avoiding the very first 4 primaries, not accepting any outside funds, and hence, not taking part in the celebration arguments, and greatly spending his own cash, on his campaign. Whether this will gain enough traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as simply another billionaire, or somebody, with the mix of skills, experience, expertise, Executive acumen, and suggests to win the general election, is uncertain.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking odds, it seems, President Trump, regardless of lots of handicaps, begins as the odds – on, preferred! Don’t forget your 1000 Dollar Bill Donald Trump…