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No matter one’s political beliefs, or, who they support, it is necessary to acknowledge, the Presidential election of 2020, as it appears, now, will be challenging/ tough, to properly anticipate. On one hand, President Trump will be able to point to the positive state of the economy, and employment levels, which normally, would nearly ensure an incumbent’s reelection. However, the continuous understanding, of his declarations, integrated with the appearance of conflicts of interest, plus suspicions of misdeeds regarding Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, etc, stand in his method! This President’s constant, apparent, appealing to the coarser impulses of Americans, from his seeming, mindset regarding immigrants, White Supremacists, etc, on one hand, appears to interest his political base, while activating, both, those who support him, in addition to the opposition. On the other hand, the Democrats appeal to, once again, be doing, the political equivalent, of, shooting themselves, in the leg, and, hence, the election outcome is unforeseeable! With that in mind, this article will try to, briefly, think about, examine, examine, and talk about, 5 reasons, the President might be reelected (to put it simply, they might not, present, a reliable message, to beat him, at the polls).
1. If Bernie Sanders, or Elizabeth Warren, are elected: 2 of the candidates in the race, are considered, by some, as the most progressive, by a few of the possible voters! In 2016, Bernie Sanders’ supporters, in enough numbers, felt bitter, he did not acquire the Democratic election, and, in the general election, a significant variety of them, either, elected Trump, among the minority prospects, or didn’t vote, at all! For those, who proclaimed, it wouldn’t matter, whether Trump, or Clinton, won, that election, the past three years, ought to have taught them a lesson! Nevertheless, it appears, it has not, to a lot of them! Elizabeth Warren has actually assaulted other Democrats, except Bernie, including Mayor Pete, Joe Biden, and Mike Bloomberg, while providing so – called, strategies, without sufficient detail, concerning costs! The real question, with both these candidates, is how would they get the Congress to vote them, into law, and without that, voters will blame the Democratic Celebration for over – appealing, etc!
2. If Bernie and Liz aren’t the candidate: If neither Mr. Sanders, or Ms, Warren, are the nominee, will their advocates, back the ultimate Democratic prospect, or repeat the errors of 2016? A divided party, is the pal of the President, because, his core supporters/ base, nearly guarantee him, at least 35%, going into the 2020 elections!
3. How might Independents vote?: How will the Independents vote, and, will they, even go, to the surveys? Will the candidacy of, either, Sanders or Warren, scare – off, these citizens, and, will the method, the President campaigns, versus them, utilizing scary rhetoric? We might expect to witness, labels, such as, Crazy Bernie, Pocahontas, Socialists, Communists, etc, and how might, a consistent barrage, and scare – tactics, affect things?
4. How might Moderates vote? As above, lots of Moderates might fear either, of the two prospects, listed above? Would that drive them to the Republican incumbent, or keep them, from going to the surveys, or would their worry and dislike of Trump, be more powerful?
5. Nominee – possibilities, and impacts: It appears, the field has actually narrowed, from over 20 prospects, to about 6 – 8 possibilities! While polls show Biden is still leading, in lots of states, in addition to general, his propensity to put his foot, in his mouth, must be concerning, regarding how, he should stand – up, to Trump, especially considering the currently, existing attempts, at accusing him, and his son, of unverified, misconduct! Sanders and Warren, on one hand, might excite, certain components of the electorate, while likewise, scaring others! Mayor Pete, who looked like an option, has recently, gotten into conflicts with Warren, and does not appear, relied on, by certain minorities! Senators Biden, and Klobuchar, may end up being compromise candidates, or won’t acquire enough traction. Mayor Michael Bloomberg is following an uncommon, distinct method, skipping the very first 4 primaries, declining any outdoors funds, and hence, not participating in the celebration arguments, and greatly investing his own monies, on his project. Whether this will get adequate traction, and whether, he will be viewed, as just another billionaire, or somebody, with the mix of abilities, experience, proficiency, Executive acumen, and means to win the general election, doubts.
As you can see, this is made complex. If we were taking chances, it appears, President Trump, in spite of lots of handicaps, begins as the odds – on, favorite! Don’t forget your 100 Dollar Trump Bill…